If you look at the successful investors of our time, the
Warren Buffets, Donald Trumps and others you will notice a number of common
attributes. The most obvious of which is that they are able to find investments
that are under-priced.
Some people describe that as the “Contrarian Principle” of
investment. That is that they invest in what the popular opinion says is not a
good investment.
But if you think that through you will come to the
conclusion that that is not a good strategy for making money because there are
plenty of investments that are not good investments today and will still not be
good investments in the future. Just as there are investment that we could have
made 10 years ago that are still not good investments today.
I don’t think that what successful investors do is “contrarian”
at all. What they have is the ability to recognise change before it happens and
have the self confidence in their ability to back themselves and to make a move
before others and before the situation starts to improve.
That ability to recognise change comes from keeping
themselves informed and thinking through what is a likely outcome from the
information they are receiving.
One thing I find interesting about the investments that successful
investors make is that if you look at their decisions objectively and with the
benefit of hindsight, they seem quite obvious.
On that basis what do you think is the likely outcome of
this information?
But then mining towns are high risk because they are too
dependent on one industry for their long term viability. If the mine closes
then the town dies. However there are towns that are benefiting from substantial
infrastructure spending to allow for the processing and export of the various
resources that are being mined.
These towns are likely to survive the ups and downs of a “Boom
or bust” industry because the infrastructure that has been put in place like
hospitals, schools, shopping centres, roads and housing subdivisions will
remain. Other businesses will grow and thrive within the town because of the
infrastructure that has been provided.
Food for thought…
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Very helpful and informative post. I appreciate your thoughtful writes and step by step guide lines. Thanks you.
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