We have
had some amazing valuations lately…
With
variations of over 20% on the same property, with the same valuer, but with
different Banks, so what is going on?
On one
property alone recently we have seen valuations of; 2 lenders at $300,000, 1 of
$330,000, 2 of $340,000, 1 of $350,000 and 2 at the Contract Price which was $365,000,
with a valuation of $300,000, $340,000 and $365,000 from the same individual valuer.
It was actually different properties but they were all identical and all within
a block of each other and on the same size land.
Explain that
to me?
Bank Valuation
101.
The valuers
job is to assess risk for the bank.
It is
important to note there is a distinction between the way lenders value a
property and the true market value.
True
market value can only be assessed by a “willing buyer and a willing vendor”
however in the past the lender valuation has always been close, because it has previously
been based on previous sales of a similar property in a similar area, without
caveat.
More than
ever our lenders are placing caveats on valuations by way of “instructions” all
possibly driven by profit at any expense.
Lenders
have outsourced the overhead of valuations to commercial valuers but still control
the valuation process with “instructions” to the valuer.
If a loan
goes bad and the banks are not able to recover their principal and costs, then
valuers are at risk of getting sued. Yet they are paid peanuts to do the
valuation so the commerciality comes into it too, for the valuation firm.
So when undertaking
a valuation, the valuer must take into consideration a number of factors not
the least of which is, how much they are getting paid for the time spent on it.
Hence they might give the task to a new or less experienced valuer and therefore
they must consider the terms of their Professional Indemnity Insurance.
Nowadays Bank
valuations are not generally based on true market value of a property, but are
rather based on the level of risk to the valuer and to the bank.
Valuers
take their “instructions” from the bank.
Right now
banks are cooling the market, with tight lending criteria and they do that by limiting
valuations. When you go to borrow money, the instructions will more often than
not (these days) come through from a lender that may force the Valuer to use
certain “indicators”. For example the
value of a brand new property may be valued significantly lower than expected
as it may be based on using only second hand properties as sales data. Or
perhaps previous sales of old homes in an area that is going through
re-gentrification where the old homes are really land value only.
Over
exposure in certain areas:
Banks have exposure limits in areas and even
complexes. In
other words, if a particular lender has lent too much in a postcode, they will
restrict further involvement or at least offer less favourable terms.
Lenders Mortgage Insurers (LMI’s) have exposure
limits in areas and even complexes. In other words, if they have lent too much in a
postcode, they will restrict further involvement.
So
funders don’t chase business away, they use guidelines and instruction to
control the outcome.
No Bank
wants to chase away business so they will rarely say “No” but what they will do
is make the loan more attractive to their business guidelines by lowering the
LVR.
LVR an
acronym for “Loan to Value Ratio”
LVR is
basically the amount you are borrowing, represented as a percentage of the
value of the property being used as security for the loan. Lenders place a
large emphasis on the LVR when assessing your loan application. The lower the
LVR, the lower the risk is to the bank and hence the lower their cost on that
loan and on their Book in general.
Question:
Would it be plausible that a lender would advertise that they will do 95% LVR loans
yet rarely lends that amounts over 80% LVR?
Absolutely,
and they can achieve that by giving “instructions” that result in a lower
valuation.
LMI
(Lenders Mortgage Insurance)
When a loan has a LVR of less than 80% then the
borrower doesn’t pay mortgage insurance. Lenders still insure all loans so in
the case of a LVR less than 80% the Lender pays the premium.
If the loan is greater than 80% then the borrower
pays the LVR.
* Would
it also be plausible that a particular lending might instruct the valuers in
such a way that it elicits lower valuations so that the lender does not have to
pay as many insurance premiums? Absolutely! That way you pay for their risk.
NOTE: Nowadays you just can’t
tell whether a valuation is realistic or not until you see the valuation and
try to understand what the Lender is trying to achieve.
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